07 March, 2016
As appeared in Bloomberg

Senior Fellow of the CIMB ASEAN Research Institute Pauline Loong spoke on Bloomberg about the big gap in China’s policy blueprint for the next five years. She pointed out that notably missing from the outline of China’s Five Year Plan is any mention of strategies to deal with possible large-scale capital outflows once the currency barrier is dismantled, as envisioned in the push for renminbi globalization.

 

Singapore’s non-oil domestic exports weakens 10% in April

21 May, 2019
By Michelle Chia, Economist, CIMB Research and Economic and Sofea Azahar, Economist, CIMB Research and Economics |

HIGHLIGHTS April 2019 trade NODX plunged 10% in April, on weakness in electronics and non-electronics. Downside risks to Singapore’s GDP growth and inflation outlook have intensified as protracted US-China talks weigh on trade recovery

Mekong Monitor

17 May, 2019

Photo credit: VNA   TRADE, ECONOMY, AND INVESTMENT   VIETNAM, MYANMAR Vietnam and Myanmar strive to reach US$1 billion in trade turnover (12 May 2019) Myanmar President Win Myint’s visit to Hanoi on May

China-ASEAN Monitor

15 May, 2019

Photo credit: Getty Images   Economy, Investment and Trade   FTA between Hong Kong and three ASEAN countries to take effect in June (9 May 2019) The Hong Kong Special Administrative Region (SAR) government

Weaker than expected improvement in Indonesia’s 1Q19 current account deficit

15 May, 2019
By Lim Yee Ping, Economist, CIMB Research and Economics and Michelle Chia, Economist, CIMB Research and Economic |

HIGHLIGHTS 1Q19 balance of payments The 1Q19 current account deficit (CAD) improved to US$7.0bn/2.6% of GDP, the smallest since 2Q18, though it fell short of our expectation. We raise our CAD forecast to US$29.6bn/2.7%

Indonesia’s 1Q19 GDP growth of 5.1% slightly disappoints

10 May, 2019
By Lim Yee Ping, Economist, CIMB Research and Economics and Michelle Chia, Economist, CIMB Research and Economic |

HIGHLIGHTS 1Q19 GDP growth 1Q19 real GDP growth came in slightly below expectation at 5.1% yoy on slowing investment activity and the drag from inventory contribution. We raise our 2019 GDP growth forecast by

Malaysia cuts OPR rate to 3.00% against expectations

9 May, 2019

HIGHLIGHTS May Monetary Policy Committee – Overnight Policy Rate cut by 25bp OPR cut by 25bp to 3.00% against our expectations of a hold in May. Tightening domestic financial conditions and concerns over downside

Mekong Monitor

9 May, 2019

Photo credit: The Nation   TRADE, ECONOMY, AND INVESTMENT   THAILAND-CLMV EXIM Thailand to continue supporting Thai SME expansion to CLMV markets (3 May 2019) Export-Import Bank of Thailand (EXIM Thailand) president Pisit Serewiwattana

China-ASEAN Monitor

8 May, 2019

Photo credit: Reuters   Economy, Investment and Trade   Cambodian rice exports to China rise following EU tariffs (6 May 2019) Cambodian rice exports to China increased by 45.6% in the month of February

Malaysia: March 2019 trade

7 May, 2019

HIGHLIGHTS March 2019 trade Trade performance in Mar exceeded expectations as milder-than-expected declines in exports and imports lifted the trade surplus to RM14.4bn. A US-China trade deal, recovery in regional manufacturing activity, and stronger