07 March, 2016
As appeared in Bloomberg

Senior Fellow of the CIMB ASEAN Research Institute Pauline Loong spoke on Bloomberg about the big gap in China’s policy blueprint for the next five years. She pointed out that notably missing from the outline of China’s Five Year Plan is any mention of strategies to deal with possible large-scale capital outflows once the currency barrier is dismantled, as envisioned in the push for renminbi globalization.

 

China-ASEAN Monitor

10 October, 2018

Photo credit: The Straits Times   Economy, Investment and Trade Leaders of Singapore and China exchanged diplomatic letters to mark 15th anniversary of partnership (9 October 2018) Singapore Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong and

Malaysia: August 2018 trade

8 October, 2018
By Michelle Chia, Economist, CIMB Research and Economic and Lim Yee Ping, Economist, CIMB Research |

HIGHLIGHTS August 2018 trade Trade surplus sank to a 46-month low of RM1.6bn due to weaker non-oil commodity exports and E&E shipments Our 2018 export forecast is lowered to 6.5% to reflect challenging trade

Mekong Monitor

4 October, 2018

Photo Credit: Financial Tribune   TRADE, ECONOMY, AND INVESTMENT   THAILAND Thailand to increase exports to ASEAN nations by 20% (2 October 2018) Thailand’s Commerce Minister Sontirat Sontijirawong said Thailand’s exports to ASEAN have

China-ASEAN Monitor

3 October, 2018

Photo credit: Nikkei Asian Review   Economy, Investment and Trade Myanmar slashes China-backed port project by 80% (28 September 2018) The Myanmar government renegotiated a Chinese-led port project in Rakhine by reducing its initial

Indonesia: September 2018 CPI inflation

3 October, 2018
By Lim Yee Ping, Economist, CIMB Research and Economics and Michelle Chia, Economist, CIMB Research and Economic |

HIGHLIGHTS September 2018 CPI inflation Headline and core inflation decelerated in September. The headline inflation of 2.9% yoy was at its weakest pace since August 2016. The pass-through effect of a weaker rupiah and

Thailand: Macro snapshot

2 October, 2018
By Michelle Chia, Economist, CIMB Research and Economic and Sofea Azahar, Economist, CIMB Research and Economics |

HIGHLIGHTS Macro snapshot External demand retreat weighs on trade surplus and manufacturing activity. Balance of payments surplus and return of foreign portfolio inflows halt 4- month slide in the baht. Constructive growth outlook, budding

Indonesia: September 2018 BI meeting

1 October, 2018
By Lim Yee Ping, Economist, CIMB Research and Economics and Michelle Chia, Economist, CIMB Research and Economic |

HIGHLIGHTS September 2018 BI meeting Bank Indonesia (BI) lifted its policy rate by 25bp after a similar move by the US Federal Reserve (US Fed) overnight. BI to issue guidelines for domestic non-deliverable forward

Vietnam: Growth remains robust

1 October, 2018
By Michelle Chia, Economist, CIMB Research and Economic and Sofea Azahar, Economist, CIMB Research and Economics |

HIGHLIGHTS Vietnam: Growth remains robust Vietnam’s economy expanded 7.1% yoy in 1H18 and we forecast GDP growth to be reported at 6.8% yoy for 3Q18. Depreciation pressures on the dong have eased but still

Singapore: August 2018 industrial production

27 September, 2018
By Michelle Chia, Economist, CIMB Research and Economic and Sofea Azahar, Economist, CIMB Research and Economics |

HIGHLIGHTS August 2018 industrial production Singapore’s industrial production index (IPI) expanded 3.3% yoy in August The country recorded weaker readings in the electronics, biomedical, petrochemical and transport engineering clusters. We expect MAS to stand

Mekong Monitor

27 September, 2018

Photo Credit: National Public Radio   TRADE, ECONOMY, AND INVESTMENT   MEKONG Thai government mulls cross-border trade zone in the Golden Triangle (24 September 2018) The Thai government is conducting a feasibility study to